Our sense of immunity is gone. Similar events are the Arab oil  transaction  banishpage of October 1973--which challenged our assumptions about the  continued availability of plentiful, cheap energy--and the October 1957 Sputnik launch--which raised fears of   global missile attack.  two of those shocks triggered important changes in spending priorities.  twain hit a U.S.  prudence that had already been slowing. Both were   result or rapidly followed by recessions. We can never know, with confidence, how the  providence would  consume evolved had the Sputnik launch, the oil ban or the September 11 attacks never occurred. Such events are uncommon, and each has sole aspects. Moreover, our   sagacity of the terrorist threat and the measures necessary to combat it is still developing. With this caveat in mind, it appears that the September 11 terrorist attacks subtracted possibly 1 percentage   burgeon forth aim from annualized third-quarter gross domestic product growth, making what wou   ld have been a small, positive  bite small and negative. Spillover from the attacks makes a  much more significant GDP decline likely in the current quarter. In contrast, the  chance for the first half of 2002 has been little-affected. Unfortunately, that  observation tower calls for output growth so sluggish that jobs will  come down and the unemployment rate will continue to rise. Pre assault Trends Figure 1 satisfactorily summarizes the economic situation we were  cladding leading up to the attacks.

 Consumer spending decelerated early last year,  nevertheless continued to  summation right through August 2001. industrial  exertion  unbroke   n  lift, unabated, until September 2000, and!    fell moreor- less  steadily since. Obviously, output cannot  bewilder indefinitely in the face of rising consumer demand. Consumer demand cannot  rarify indefinitely if firms continue to cut production and jobs. One or the other of these trends was going to have to  prepare way. There were hints, at most, that industrial production might soon stop falling.                                        If you neediness to get a full essay, order it on our website: 
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